Scouting Report
Tyson Jost holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Jost on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Thomas wins 41.1% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 44.6% vs Jost 47.5% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 58.9%
Defensive zone
Jost 54.3%
Neutral zone
Thomas 59.0%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Thomas
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Thomas
Jost
Last 8: Thomas 3-5 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thomas
Jost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
3
Thomas
Jost
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
1
Thomas
Jost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (252)
47.7% (287)
-5.2%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
62.5% (8)
-18.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
39.2% (51)
+10.8%
On power play, Jost has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Thomas is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (175).
Thomas shoots right. Jost is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Thomas
Jost
Home
44.8% (125)
49.5% (190)
Away
40.6% (138)
43.6% (156)
By Period
Thomas
Jost
P1
43.2%
43.2%
P2
44.6%
52.5%
P3
40.2%
44.5%
Final 5 min
40.0%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
42.6%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2021 | 2 | 15:56 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 2 | 15:48 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 04:34 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 01:48 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 03:01 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 3 | 01:54 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 04:27 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 3 | 19:07 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |