Scouting Report
Rod Pelley holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Emmerton on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Emmerton 48.7% vs Pelley 49.4% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Emmerton 63.9%
Defensive zone
Pelley 59.4%
Neutral zone
Pelley 53.6%
Result
Cory Emmerton favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Emmerton
Pelley
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Emmerton
Pelley
Last 5: Emmerton 2-3 Pelley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Emmerton
2
1
Emmerton
Pelley
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pelley
0
2
Emmerton
Pelley
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Emmerton
Pelley
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (299)
49.6% (232)
-1.4%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
0.0% (4)
+42.9%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
53.3% (15)
+3.8%
On power play, Emmerton has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pelley shoots left. Emmerton is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Emmerton shoots left. Pelley is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Emmerton
Pelley
Home
49.7% (183)
50.0% (94)
Away
46.2% (130)
48.8% (160)
By Period
Emmerton
Pelley
P1
45.5%
46.0%
P2
50.0%
49.0%
P3
49.4%
55.6%
Final 5 min
46.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
48.2%
Pelley
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2012 | 1 | 10:42 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 3 | 01:48 | Offensive | Rod Pelley |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Rod Pelley |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 1 | 06:00 | Defensive | Rod Pelley |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 1 | 02:50 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |