Scouting Report
Rod Pelley holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ellis 46.8% vs Pelley 51.0% (-4.8%)
Offensive zone
Pelley 52.3%
Defensive zone
Pelley 53.0%
Neutral zone
Ellis 51.5%
Result
Rod Pelley favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Ellis
Pelley
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ellis
Pelley
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (607)
51.4% (440)
-4.1%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
25.0% (8)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (95)
50.8% (118)
-8.7%
On penalty kill, Pelley has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pelley shoots left. Ellis is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Ellis shoots left. Pelley is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Ellis
Pelley
Home
48.5% (303)
52.9% (221)
Away
44.8% (406)
50.1% (353)
By Period
Ellis
Pelley
P1
50.0%
50.8%
P2
46.2%
49.3%
P3
41.3%
53.8%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
42.4%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ellis
42.0%▼
49.0%
46.4%
Pelley
50.0%▬
49.0%
51.2%