Scouting Report
Rod Pelley holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pelley on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pelley 51.0% vs Connolly 47.3% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Connolly 57.7%
Defensive zone
Pelley 67.2%
Neutral zone
Pelley 61.8%
Result
Rod Pelley favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Pelley
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Pelley
Connolly
Last 5: Pelley 3-2 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
0
1
Pelley
Connolly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pelley
3
1
Pelley
Connolly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pelley
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (440)
47.4% (1,307)
+4.0%
Power Play
25.0% (8)
50.2% (251)
-25.2%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (118)
41.9% (186)
+8.9%
On power play, Connolly has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Pelley is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (205).
Pelley shoots left. Connolly is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,179).
Home / Away
Pelley
Connolly
Home
52.9% (221)
48.5% (870)
Away
50.1% (353)
45.9% (885)
By Period
Pelley
Connolly
P1
50.8%
47.4%
P2
49.3%
47.7%
P3
53.8%
47.0%
OT
100.0%
37.8%
Final 5 min
52.0%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pelley
50.0%▬
49.0%
51.2%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2010 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | Rod Pelley |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 3 | 09:32 | Defensive | Rod Pelley |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 2 | 11:39 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 2 | 02:09 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 1 | 12:18 | Defensive | Rod Pelley |