Scouting Report
Rodrigo Abols holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Abols on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Abols wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Abols 53.1% vs Carrick 52.1% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Abols 82.3%
Defensive zone
Carrick 68.3%
Neutral zone
Carrick 53.7%
Result
Rodrigo Abols favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Abols
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Abols
Carrick
Last 5: Abols 5-0 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Abols
3
0
Abols
Carrick
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Abols
2
0
Abols
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Abols
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (402)
52.1% (2,513)
+1.6%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
61.3% (75)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
50.7% (430)
+6.4%
On penalty kill, Abols has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Abols is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Abols shoots left. Carrick is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,179).
Home / Away
Abols
Carrick
Home
56.3% (215)
51.2% (1,441)
Away
51.2% (201)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Abols
Carrick
P1
55.6%
51.8%
P2
47.3%
52.2%
P3
59.0%
52.4%
Final 5 min
55.8%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Abols
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.8%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 16:53 | Neutral | Rodrigo Abols |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 05:15 | Neutral | Rodrigo Abols |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:29 | Offensive | Rodrigo Abols |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 19:05 | Offensive | Rodrigo Abols |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 15:42 | Offensive | Rodrigo Abols |