Scouting Report
Rodrigo Abols holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Ostapchuk on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Abols 51.6% vs Ostapchuk 50.2% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ostapchuk 62.6%
Defensive zone
Ostapchuk 64.3%
Neutral zone
Ostapchuk 66.5%
Result
Zack Ostapchuk favored at 65.6%
34.4%
65.6%
Abols
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Abols
Ostapchuk
Last 5: Abols 1-4 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Abols
Ostapchuk
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
3
Abols
Ostapchuk
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Abols
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (293)
51.7% (300)
+0.5%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
33.3% (3)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
43.6% (55)
+6.4%
On power play, Abols has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Abols is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (195).
Abols shoots left. Ostapchuk is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Home / Away
Abols
Ostapchuk
Home
54.7% (150)
49.1% (161)
Away
49.7% (153)
51.3% (197)
By Period
Abols
Ostapchuk
P1
54.4%
50.0%
P2
46.3%
45.7%
P3
56.2%
55.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Abols
54.0%▲
51.5%
52.1%
Ostapchuk
44.0%▼
48.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:17 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 03:20 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 09:57 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 06:20 | Defensive | Rodrigo Abols |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 02:49 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |