Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cervenka on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Couture wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Cervenka shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 51.3% vs Cervenka 48.0% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cervenka 60.0%
Defensive zone
Cervenka 51.1%
Neutral zone
Cervenka 55.4%
Result
Roman Cervenka favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Couture
Cervenka
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Couture
Cervenka
Last 5: Couture 1-4 Cervenka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
1
0
Couture
Cervenka
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cervenka
0
3
Couture
Cervenka
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cervenka
0
1
Couture
Cervenka
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Cervenka
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (453)
40.9% (93)
+10.3%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
66.7% (30)
-22.3%
Penalty Kill
59.3% (27)
0.0% (2)
+59.3%
On penalty kill, Couture has a +59.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cervenka shoots left. Couture is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Couture shoots left. Cervenka is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (83).
Home / Away
Couture
Cervenka
Home
54.4% (261)
47.5% (59)
Away
48.2% (228)
45.5% (66)
By Period
Couture
Cervenka
P1
57.6%
32.7%
P2
48.4%
50.0%
P3
47.7%
62.5%
OT
54.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
51.5%
Cervenka
46.0%▬
46.4%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2013 | 3 | 16:06 | Defensive | Roman Cervenka |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 3 | 04:20 | Defensive | Roman Cervenka |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 2 | 17:12 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 2 | 14:05 | Defensive | Roman Cervenka |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 2 | 13:53 | Neutral | Roman Cervenka |