Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cervenka on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cervenka 48.0% vs Koivu 51.2% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cervenka 54.4%
Defensive zone
Koivu 74.9%
Neutral zone
Koivu 59.8%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Cervenka
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Cervenka
Koivu
Last 7: Cervenka 4-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cervenka
1
0
Cervenka
Koivu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Cervenka
Koivu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cervenka
3
2
Cervenka
Koivu
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cervenka
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (93)
52.5% (631)
-11.6%
Power Play
66.7% (30)
49.3% (73)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
47.6% (147)
-47.6%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +47.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Cervenka is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (83).
Cervenka shoots left. Koivu is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Cervenka
Koivu
Home
47.5% (59)
51.3% (431)
Away
45.5% (66)
51.4% (420)
By Period
Cervenka
Koivu
P1
32.7%
51.9%
P2
50.0%
52.9%
P3
62.5%
49.8%
OT
50.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
46.4%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cervenka
46.0%▬
46.4%
46.4%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2013 | 2 | 04:32 | Offensive | Roman Cervenka |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 3 | 01:05 | Neutral | Roman Cervenka |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 2 | 05:19 | Neutral | Roman Cervenka |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 2 | 05:10 | Neutral | Roman Cervenka |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 2 | 01:12 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 1 | 10:51 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 1 | 07:05 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |