Scouting Report
Jason Arnott holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Arnott on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.3% vs Horak 43.1% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Arnott leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Arnott 90.8%
Defensive zone
Arnott 66.0%
Neutral zone
Arnott 79.0%
Result
Jason Arnott favored at 81.0%
81.0%
19.0%
Arnott
Horak
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Arnott
Horak
Last 10: Arnott 7-3 Horak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
3
2
Arnott
Horak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
2
1
Arnott
Horak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arnott
2
0
Arnott
Horak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Horak
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (667)
40.1% (399)
+10.4%
Power Play
49.4% (89)
53.8% (26)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
50.0% (14)
+10.0%
On even strength, Arnott has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horak shoots left. Arnott is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Arnott shoots right. Horak is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (161).
Home / Away
Arnott
Horak
Home
53.1% (431)
40.5% (227)
Away
46.7% (338)
42.5% (214)
By Period
Arnott
Horak
P1
46.9%
42.3%
P2
52.9%
40.5%
P3
50.4%
41.5%
Final 5 min
50.6%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Horak
38.0%▼
46.0%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2012 | 2 | 14:35 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 16:59 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 1 | 14:56 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 3 | 17:35 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 1 | 16:18 | Defensive | Roman Horak |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 1 | 01:28 | Offensive | Roman Horak |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 3 | 01:30 | Offensive | Roman Horak |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 2 | 03:39 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 1 | 10:25 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 1 | 09:07 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |