Scouting Report
Scott Gomez holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gomez on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Horak wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gomez shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horak 43.1% vs Gomez 49.7% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horak 55.5%
Defensive zone
Horak 75.4%
Neutral zone
Horak 62.1%
Result
Roman Horak favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Horak
Gomez
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Horak
Gomez
Last 8: Horak 3-5 Gomez
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gomez
0
2
Horak
Gomez
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horak
2
0
Horak
Gomez
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gomez
1
3
Horak
Gomez
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horak
Gomez
Edge
Even Strength
40.1% (399)
50.4% (270)
-10.3%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
50.0% (50)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (14)
25.0% (4)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Horak has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gomez shoots left. Horak is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Horak shoots left. Gomez is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Horak
Gomez
Home
40.5% (227)
48.3% (178)
Away
42.5% (214)
51.0% (155)
By Period
Horak
Gomez
P1
42.3%
52.3%
P2
40.5%
47.0%
P3
41.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.9%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horak
38.0%▼
46.0%
41.5%
Gomez
52.0%▲
46.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2011 | 3 | 10:16 | Defensive | Roman Horak |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 3 | 03:50 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 2 | 07:00 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 2 | 03:03 | Defensive | Roman Horak |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 1 | 16:55 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 1 | 11:38 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 1 | 07:15 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 1 | 04:09 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |