Scouting Report
Roman Horak holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Horak wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Gionta shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horak 43.9% vs Gionta 41.2% (+2.1%)
Offensive zone
Horak 54.0%
Defensive zone
Gionta 55.5%
Neutral zone
Gionta 51.8%
Result
Stephen Gionta favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Horak
Gionta
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horak
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (594)
40.6% (1,902)
+1.2%
Power Play
51.4% (37)
61.5% (26)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
40.1% (292)
+17.8%
On penalty kill, Horak has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Horak is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Horak shoots left. Gionta is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,514).
Home / Away
Horak
Gionta
Home
43.7% (325)
42.6% (1,074)
Away
42.2% (327)
39.1% (1,147)
By Period
Horak
Gionta
P1
42.4%
40.8%
P2
44.2%
41.8%
P3
42.6%
39.8%
OT
0.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
42.3%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horak
38.0%▼
46.0%
42.9%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
40.8%