Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.9% vs 54.3%). Look for Richardson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Richardson wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 54.5% vs Hintz 53.4% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 71.6%
Defensive zone
Richardson 85.3%
Neutral zone
Richardson 60.6%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Richardson
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Richardson
Hintz
Last 6: Richardson 5-1 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
2
1
Richardson
Hintz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
1
0
Richardson
Hintz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
2
0
Richardson
Hintz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (811)
54.2% (336)
+1.9%
Power Play
63.3% (30)
56.8% (44)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (210)
50.0% (20)
-1.0%
On power play, Richardson has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Richardson is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Richardson shoots left. Hintz is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Richardson
Hintz
Home
55.3% (590)
57.3% (232)
Away
54.4% (461)
50.0% (168)
By Period
Richardson
Hintz
P1
56.2%
53.3%
P2
56.4%
51.2%
P3
51.8%
58.5%
OT
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
55.9%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
54.9%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 08:37 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 03:22 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 16:43 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 01:27 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 01:10 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 06:37 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |