Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 54.3%). Look for Hintz on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Gauthier wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gauthier 53.0% vs Hintz 53.4% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 62.4%
Defensive zone
Gauthier 77.1%
Neutral zone
Gauthier 57.7%
Result
Frederik Gauthier favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Gauthier
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Gauthier
Hintz
Last 6: Gauthier 2-4 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
Gauthier
Hintz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
2
3
Gauthier
Hintz
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gauthier
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (420)
54.2% (336)
-0.9%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
56.8% (44)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (19)
50.0% (20)
+13.2%
On penalty kill, Gauthier has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Gauthier is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Gauthier shoots left. Hintz is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Gauthier
Hintz
Home
54.4% (237)
57.3% (232)
Away
52.9% (210)
50.0% (168)
By Period
Gauthier
Hintz
P1
53.2%
53.3%
P2
57.8%
51.2%
P3
49.6%
58.5%
Final 5 min
53.9%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gauthier
40.0%▼
45.0%
53.7%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2018 | 3 | 05:38 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 3 | 03:02 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 2 | 16:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 2 | 10:21 | Neutral | Frederik Gauthier |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 1 | 16:14 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 1 | 05:56 | Neutral | Frederik Gauthier |