Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.9% vs Hintz 53.5% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 69.6%
Defensive zone
Roy 77.2%
Neutral zone
Roy 76.7%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 74.0%
74.0%
26.0%
Roy
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Roy
Hintz
Last 5: Roy 1-4 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
2
Roy
Hintz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Roy
Hintz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
Roy
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (679)
53.6% (711)
-5.0%
Power Play
48.0% (50)
53.8% (93)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
34.7% (49)
58.7% (46)
-24.0%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Roy is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Roy shoots right. Hintz is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
Roy
Hintz
Home
49.3% (345)
52.6% (460)
Away
46.4% (433)
55.4% (390)
By Period
Roy
Hintz
P1
47.6%
59.0%
P2
47.1%
52.7%
P3
47.9%
51.1%
OT
75.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 07:56 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 3 | 08:08 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 06:20 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 1 | 12:38 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |