Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hintz 53.8% vs Johnson 49.7% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 81.5%
Defensive zone
Johnson 76.4%
Neutral zone
Johnson 76.0%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 77.0%
23.0%
77.0%
Hintz
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Hintz
Johnson
Last 7: Hintz 0-7 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Hintz
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
4
Hintz
Johnson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Hintz
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hintz
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,722)
49.8% (5,396)
+4.0%
Power Play
55.4% (567)
54.6% (885)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (221)
42.3% (707)
+10.6%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Hintz is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,728).
Hintz shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Hintz
Johnson
Home
54.9% (2,317)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
52.9% (2,193)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Hintz
Johnson
P1
55.5%
50.1%
P2
53.9%
50.6%
P3
52.7%
48.4%
OT
49.3%
42.5%
Final 5 min
54.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 19:35 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 1 | 08:10 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 15:42 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 15:32 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 00:21 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 13:41 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 1 | 15:19 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |