Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bedard on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Bedard wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 40.7% vs Colton 51.4% (-12.7%)
H2H factor
Bedard leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Colton 59.2%
Defensive zone
Colton 79.8%
Neutral zone
Colton 76.2%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 73.9%
26.1%
73.9%
Bedard
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Bedard
Colton
Last 10: Bedard 6-4 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
2
0
Bedard
Colton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
2
1
Bedard
Colton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colton
2
3
Bedard
Colton
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (512)
52.1% (741)
-13.2%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
48.3% (60)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
42.1% (19)
-17.1%
On penalty kill, Colton has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Bedard is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Bedard shoots right. Colton is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (269).
Home / Away
Bedard
Colton
Home
40.2% (246)
54.0% (411)
Away
37.8% (286)
49.1% (409)
By Period
Bedard
Colton
P1
39.9%
56.7%
P2
38.5%
53.1%
P3
39.0%
46.3%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.9%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 13:33 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 07:52 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 07:36 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 1 | 14:34 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 17:39 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 07:21 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 06:59 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 06:48 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 18:41 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 10:27 | Neutral | Ross Colton |