Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.1% vs 51.6%). Look for Colton on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.9% vs Colton 51.4% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 54.7%
Defensive zone
Colton 67.5%
Neutral zone
Colton 58.8%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Norris
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Norris
Colton
Last 6: Norris 1-5 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colton
1
5
Norris
Colton
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (542)
52.1% (741)
+0.1%
Power Play
54.4% (57)
48.3% (60)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
42.1% (19)
+4.6%
On power play, Norris has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Norris is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Norris shoots left. Colton is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (551).
Home / Away
Norris
Colton
Home
50.7% (351)
54.0% (411)
Away
54.0% (278)
49.1% (409)
By Period
Norris
Colton
P1
55.6%
56.7%
P2
49.3%
53.1%
P3
52.1%
46.3%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 11:01 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:05 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 19:43 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ross Colton |