Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Rasmussen on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Rasmussen wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rasmussen 45.8% vs Colton 49.0% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 60.0%
Defensive zone
Colton 67.7%
Neutral zone
Colton 67.2%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 65.2%
34.8%
65.2%
Rasmussen
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Rasmussen
Colton
Last 7: Rasmussen 5-2 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
2
0
Rasmussen
Colton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
3
2
Rasmussen
Colton
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rasmussen
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (266)
49.2% (199)
-4.5%
Power Play
37.0% (27)
33.3% (9)
+3.7%
On even strength, Colton has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Rasmussen is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Rasmussen shoots left. Colton is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (152).
Home / Away
Rasmussen
Colton
Home
42.7% (157)
46.3% (121)
Away
46.2% (145)
51.7% (87)
By Period
Rasmussen
Colton
P1
40.8%
56.2%
P2
45.7%
46.8%
P3
45.8%
42.5%
Final 5 min
47.6%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
44.4%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2021 | 2 | 17:32 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 3 | 14:19 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 1 | 10:04 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 19:40 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |