Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Chartier wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chartier 50.0% vs Bozak 53.4% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 54.2%
Defensive zone
Chartier 71.2%
Neutral zone
Chartier 70.2%
Result
Rourke Chartier favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Chartier
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Chartier
Bozak
Last 6: Chartier 0-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
4
Chartier
Bozak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Chartier
Bozak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Chartier
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chartier
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (329)
53.7% (9,596)
-2.9%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
55.2% (1,990)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (79)
48.0% (1,094)
-2.4%
On power play, Chartier has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Chartier is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (137).
Chartier shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Chartier
Bozak
Home
48.3% (240)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
52.3% (174)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Chartier
Bozak
P1
51.5%
53.2%
P2
48.1%
52.8%
P3
50.3%
54.5%
Final 5 min
46.8%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chartier
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.0%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2018 | 3 | 16:40 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 3 | 16:35 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 2 | 13:40 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 2 | 09:49 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 2 | 05:35 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 2 | 05:28 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |