Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Fedotenko shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 49.4% vs Fedotenko 40.9% (+13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 92.0%
Defensive zone
Tavares 78.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 88.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 85.7%
85.7%
14.3%
Tavares
Fedotenko
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Tavares
Fedotenko
Last 6: Tavares 5-1 Fedotenko
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Fedotenko
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Fedotenko
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Fedotenko
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Fedotenko
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (716)
36.8% (174)
+11.8%
Power Play
52.4% (208)
20.0% (5)
+32.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
28.6% (7)
+4.7%
On power play, Tavares has a +32.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fedotenko shoots left. Tavares is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (532).
Tavares shoots left. Fedotenko is 38.3% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Tavares
Fedotenko
Home
50.7% (448)
39.0% (82)
Away
48.1% (482)
33.7% (104)
By Period
Tavares
Fedotenko
P1
52.8%
38.7%
P2
51.4%
38.3%
P3
43.7%
31.3%
Final 5 min
48.6%
31.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.4%
Fedotenko
36.0%▼
37.5%
36.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2013 | 1 | 19:48 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 2 | 03:24 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 1 | 06:28 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ruslan Fedotenko |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 1 | 05:02 | Defensive | John Tavares |