Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +16.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Fedotenko on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Fedotenko wins 32.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fedotenko 40.9% vs Bozak 52.4% (-16.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 50.9%
Defensive zone
Bozak 64.9%
Neutral zone
Bozak 54.9%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Fedotenko
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Fedotenko
Bozak
Last 8: Fedotenko 4-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fedotenko
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Fedotenko
Bozak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fedotenko
3
2
Fedotenko
Bozak
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fedotenko
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (174)
52.8% (697)
-16.0%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
50.9% (171)
-30.9%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
53.3% (195)
-24.7%
On power play, Bozak has a +30.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Fedotenko is 32.4% vs right-shot opponents (71).
Fedotenko shoots left. Bozak is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (670).
Home / Away
Fedotenko
Bozak
Home
39.0% (82)
52.1% (530)
Away
33.7% (104)
53.1% (533)
By Period
Fedotenko
Bozak
P1
38.7%
54.1%
P2
38.3%
50.6%
P3
31.3%
53.4%
Final 5 min
31.8%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fedotenko
36.0%▼
37.5%
36.0%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2013 | 3 | 11:54 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 2 | 19:30 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 2 | 12:29 | Neutral | Ruslan Fedotenko |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 2 | 00:54 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 1 | 16:53 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 1 | 10:27 | Neutral | Ruslan Fedotenko |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 1 | 01:19 | Neutral | Ruslan Fedotenko |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 1 | 01:12 | Offensive | Ruslan Fedotenko |