Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Carpenter on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.2% vs Carpenter 51.2% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 68.6%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 70.6%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 71.4%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 69.6%
30.4%
69.6%
Sissons
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Sissons
Carpenter
Last 5: Sissons 1-4 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
3
Sissons
Carpenter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
1
0
Sissons
Carpenter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
1
Sissons
Carpenter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (923)
53.2% (299)
+3.8%
Power Play
56.8% (44)
33.3% (3)
+23.5%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (325)
46.5% (86)
+5.2%
On power play, Sissons has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Sissons is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (429).
Sissons shoots right. Carpenter is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Sissons
Carpenter
Home
55.9% (680)
54.6% (207)
Away
55.4% (612)
48.1% (181)
By Period
Sissons
Carpenter
P1
54.2%
52.3%
P2
55.0%
51.5%
P3
58.4%
50.8%
Final 5 min
56.5%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
55.7%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 18:31 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 3 | 01:11 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 2 | 18:15 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 1 | 15:58 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 1 | 12:35 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |