Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Komarov 47.6% vs Carpenter 48.5% (-1.1%)
Offensive zone
Komarov 55.7%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 55.9%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 50.3%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Komarov
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Komarov
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (695)
49.6% (2,027)
-1.0%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
41.5% (41)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (417)
43.9% (467)
+1.7%
On power play, Carpenter has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Komarov is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (435).
Komarov shoots left. Carpenter is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,840).
Home / Away
Komarov
Carpenter
Home
49.2% (537)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
45.7% (591)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
Komarov
Carpenter
P1
47.6%
49.6%
P2
47.3%
47.7%
P3
47.5%
48.0%
OT
41.2%
55.6%
Final 5 min
49.6%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
47.3%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%