Pierre-Edouard Bellemare vs Ryan Carpenter
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Carpenter on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bellemare wins 59.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bellemare 52.7% vs Carpenter 48.2% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 71.3%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 66.9%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 67.8%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 67.4%
32.6%
67.4%
Bellemare
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Bellemare
Carpenter
Last 5: Bellemare 1-4 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bellemare
Carpenter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
3
Bellemare
Carpenter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bellemare
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (234)
48.8% (404)
+5.0%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
100.0% (1)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (87)
43.6% (101)
+8.1%
On power play, Carpenter has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Bellemare is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Bellemare shoots left. Carpenter is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (366).
Home / Away
Bellemare
Carpenter
Home
51.8% (170)
48.9% (274)
Away
55.5% (155)
46.6% (232)
By Period
Bellemare
Carpenter
P1
52.6%
51.9%
P2
51.8%
49.4%
P3
56.3%
41.8%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bellemare
58.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 10:36 | Defensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 05:59 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 02:22 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 10:02 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 01:28 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |