Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Carpenter wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carpenter 44.1% vs Rask 45.7% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 69.5%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 78.0%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 63.7%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Carpenter
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Carpenter
Rask
Last 5: Carpenter 2-3 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
1
2
Carpenter
Rask
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Carpenter
Rask
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carpenter
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (474)
44.3% (255)
+1.9%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
50.0% (14)
-21.4%
Penalty Kill
32.6% (129)
0.0% (3)
+32.6%
On penalty kill, Carpenter has a +32.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Carpenter is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Carpenter shoots right. Rask is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (95).
Home / Away
Carpenter
Rask
Home
46.5% (303)
40.6% (133)
Away
39.7% (307)
47.5% (139)
By Period
Carpenter
Rask
P1
44.2%
52.5%
P2
40.4%
37.5%
P3
44.2%
41.6%
Final 5 min
48.3%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
43.1%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2019 | 3 | 18:57 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 3 | 05:29 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 05:02 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 01:59 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 1 | 15:33 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |