Scouting Report
Ryan Carter holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 48.1% vs Carter 49.8% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 54.1%
Defensive zone
Carter 58.3%
Neutral zone
Carter 52.6%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Jarnkrok
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Jarnkrok
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
1
0
Jarnkrok
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
1
0
Jarnkrok
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (3,352)
50.1% (978)
-0.8%
Power Play
51.9% (258)
60.0% (15)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (625)
46.4% (138)
-6.2%
On power play, Carter has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots left. Jarnkrok is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,965).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Carter is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (404).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Carter
Home
50.6% (2,253)
49.0% (506)
Away
45.3% (1,982)
50.3% (632)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Carter
P1
47.8%
50.5%
P2
48.0%
48.9%
P3
48.8%
50.0%
OT
40.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.8%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 01:29 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |