Scouting Report
Ryan Carter holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Johansson wins 40.6% vs left-shot opponents — Carter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansson 41.7% vs Carter 50.5% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansson 87.5%
Defensive zone
Johansson 85.7%
Neutral zone
Johansson 86.7%
Result
Marcus Johansson favored at 86.9%
86.9%
13.1%
Johansson
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Johansson
Carter
Last 6: Johansson 0-6 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
3
Johansson
Carter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Johansson
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Johansson
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansson
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
40.3% (596)
50.7% (404)
-10.4%
Power Play
47.2% (36)
57.1% (7)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (28)
50.0% (62)
-7.1%
On even strength, Carter has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots left. Johansson is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (411).
Johansson shoots left. Carter is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (310).
Home / Away
Johansson
Carter
Home
43.5% (313)
48.2% (220)
Away
37.9% (356)
52.7% (258)
By Period
Johansson
Carter
P1
42.6%
53.2%
P2
42.9%
50.3%
P3
36.4%
48.7%
OT
22.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
39.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
40.5%
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2010 | 1 | 13:33 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 1 | 04:14 | Offensive | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 28, 2010 | 3 | 08:00 | Offensive | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 28, 2010 | 3 | 01:07 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 28, 2010 | 3 | 01:00 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 28, 2010 | 2 | 14:56 | Offensive | Ryan Carter |