Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 50.6%). Look for Rupp on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rupp 50.4% vs Carter 50.5% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Rupp 61.5%
Defensive zone
Carter 57.1%
Neutral zone
Carter 57.3%
Result
Ryan Carter favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Rupp
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Rupp
Carter
Last 10: Rupp 5-5 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Rupp
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rupp
4
2
Rupp
Carter
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
2
Rupp
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rupp
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (123)
50.7% (404)
+0.5%
Power Play
48.6% (35)
57.1% (7)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
50.0% (62)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots left. Rupp is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (114).
Rupp shoots left. Carter is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (310).
Home / Away
Rupp
Carter
Home
41.2% (85)
48.2% (220)
Away
61.0% (77)
52.7% (258)
By Period
Rupp
Carter
P1
43.9%
53.2%
P2
59.0%
50.3%
P3
47.7%
48.7%
Final 5 min
62.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rupp
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.6%
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2011 | 2 | 07:30 | Neutral | Mike Rupp |
| Mar 27, 2011 | 3 | 09:32 | Defensive | Mike Rupp |
| Mar 27, 2011 | 2 | 08:59 | Offensive | Ryan Carter |
| Mar 27, 2011 | 2 | 04:53 | Defensive | Mike Rupp |
| Mar 27, 2011 | 2 | 02:31 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |
| Mar 27, 2011 | 2 | 02:28 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Mar 27, 2011 | 1 | 08:03 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 1 | 04:59 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 1 | 01:42 | Defensive | Mike Rupp |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 1 | 01:40 | Defensive | Mike Rupp |