Scouting Report
Ryan Carter holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 48.1% vs Carter 50.5% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 55.8%
Defensive zone
Carter 66.6%
Neutral zone
Carter 65.5%
Result
Ryan Carter favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Bonino
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Bonino
Carter
Last 5: Bonino 3-2 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Bonino
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
0
Bonino
Carter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (150)
50.7% (404)
-2.7%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
57.1% (7)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
50.0% (62)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots left. Bonino is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Bonino shoots left. Carter is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (310).
Home / Away
Bonino
Carter
Home
46.9% (98)
48.2% (220)
Away
47.1% (68)
52.7% (258)
By Period
Bonino
Carter
P1
55.6%
53.2%
P2
50.8%
50.3%
P3
36.4%
48.7%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
47.0%
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 19:55 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 09:10 | Offensive | Ryan Carter |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 13:16 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 13:13 | Offensive | Ryan Carter |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |