Scouting Report
Ryan Carter holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 49.8% vs Downie 47.5% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Downie 59.5%
Defensive zone
Carter 75.4%
Neutral zone
Carter 63.5%
Result
Ryan Carter favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Carter
Downie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Carter
Downie
Last 5: Carter 3-2 Downie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Downie
0
1
Carter
Downie
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
3
1
Carter
Downie
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Downie
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (978)
48.1% (131)
+2.0%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
43.7% (71)
+16.3%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (138)
0.0% (1)
+46.4%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +46.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Downie shoots right. Carter is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (404).
Carter shoots left. Downie is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (146).
Home / Away
Carter
Downie
Home
49.0% (506)
49.5% (93)
Away
50.3% (632)
43.6% (110)
By Period
Carter
Downie
P1
50.5%
41.8%
P2
48.9%
38.6%
P3
50.0%
60.0%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.7%
Downie
48.0%▲
46.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 17:39 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 19:59 | Offensive | Steve Downie |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 17:44 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 3 | 05:54 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 2 | 12:17 | Neutral | Steve Downie |