Scouting Report
Ryan Carter holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 49.8% vs Downie 48.1% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Downie 58.1%
Defensive zone
Carter 70.3%
Neutral zone
Carter 61.9%
Result
Ryan Carter favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Carter
Downie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Carter
Downie
Last 5: Carter 3-2 Downie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Downie
0
1
Carter
Downie
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
3
1
Carter
Downie
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Downie
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (390)
45.0% (60)
+4.7%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
48.1% (27)
+9.0%
On power play, Carter has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Downie shoots right. Carter is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Carter shoots left. Downie is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (64).
Home / Away
Carter
Downie
Home
51.5% (171)
51.2% (43)
Away
48.7% (261)
40.9% (44)
By Period
Carter
Downie
P1
50.7%
44.0%
P2
48.4%
34.5%
P3
50.4%
57.6%
Final 5 min
43.9%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.8%
Downie
48.0%▲
46.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 17:39 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 19:59 | Offensive | Steve Downie |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 17:44 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 3 | 05:54 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 2 | 12:17 | Neutral | Steve Downie |