Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Donato on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Ek wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 47.4% vs Donato 47.2% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 70.5%
Defensive zone
Ek 69.6%
Neutral zone
Ek 55.2%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 65.3%
34.7%
65.3%
Ek
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Ek
Donato
Last 5: Ek 1-4 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
4
Ek
Donato
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
1
0
Ek
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (707)
38.6% (44)
+9.2%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
52.6% (19)
-3.5%
On even strength, Ek has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Ek is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (632).
Ek shoots left. Donato is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (42).
Home / Away
Ek
Donato
Home
47.1% (414)
38.7% (31)
Away
47.1% (425)
46.9% (32)
By Period
Ek
Donato
P1
45.5%
41.2%
P2
50.2%
44.4%
P3
44.3%
40.7%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
43.2%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.1%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 06:06 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 3 | 04:51 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 1 | 13:59 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 2 | 06:02 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 1 | 01:36 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |