Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Donato on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Donato wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 44.9% vs Bennett 47.2% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Donato leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 66.5%
Defensive zone
Bennett 79.9%
Neutral zone
Bennett 77.7%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 73.7%
26.3%
73.7%
Donato
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Donato
Bennett
Last 10: Donato 7-3 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Donato
Bennett
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Donato
2
0
Donato
Bennett
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Donato
3
1
Donato
Bennett
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (1,179)
46.8% (5,683)
-2.6%
Power Play
46.3% (246)
53.7% (555)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
41.8% (256)
-5.4%
On power play, Bennett has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Donato is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Donato shoots left. Bennett is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,232).
Home / Away
Donato
Bennett
Home
47.2% (743)
48.4% (3,262)
Away
41.6% (693)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Donato
Bennett
P1
43.4%
48.0%
P2
45.1%
46.5%
P3
44.4%
46.9%
OT
70.0%
52.5%
Final 5 min
47.5%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.5%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 07:29 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 08:26 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:07 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 04:36 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 18:58 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 06:19 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 11:38 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 1 | 16:48 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |