Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Dzingel wins 37.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dzingel 42.0% vs Johnson 49.7% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dzingel 81.1%
Defensive zone
Dzingel 77.3%
Neutral zone
Dzingel 79.8%
Result
Ryan Dzingel favored at 78.7%
78.7%
21.3%
Dzingel
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Dzingel
Johnson
Last 9: Dzingel 1-8 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Dzingel
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
5
Dzingel
Johnson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dzingel
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dzingel
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
39.8% (337)
49.8% (5,396)
-10.0%
Power Play
44.7% (38)
54.6% (885)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
42.3% (707)
-42.3%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +42.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Dzingel is 37.2% vs right-shot opponents (137).
Dzingel shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Dzingel
Johnson
Home
47.1% (206)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
31.2% (173)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Dzingel
Johnson
P1
46.4%
50.1%
P2
36.4%
50.6%
P3
36.4%
48.4%
OT
0.0%
42.5%
Final 5 min
42.7%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dzingel
38.0%▼
40.0%
39.8%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 02:03 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 27, 2017 | 3 | 10:20 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 27, 2017 | 3 | 10:11 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 27, 2017 | 3 | 09:52 | Neutral | Ryan Dzingel |
| Feb 27, 2017 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 27, 2017 | 2 | 11:14 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 27, 2017 | 2 | 07:09 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 27, 2017 | 1 | 12:51 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 2 | 12:35 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |