Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.9% vs Getzlaf 50.6% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 77.5%
Defensive zone
Smith 76.5%
Neutral zone
Smith 52.5%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Smith
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Smith
Getzlaf
Last 8: Smith 2-6 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
1
Smith
Getzlaf
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
1
2
Smith
Getzlaf
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
1
3
Smith
Getzlaf
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (475)
50.6% (1,060)
+3.5%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
48.3% (118)
-34.0%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (112)
54.9% (71)
-8.5%
On power play, Getzlaf has a +34.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Smith is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Smith shoots right. Getzlaf is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (421).
Home / Away
Smith
Getzlaf
Home
54.4% (274)
51.9% (622)
Away
50.3% (320)
49.3% (627)
By Period
Smith
Getzlaf
P1
50.0%
49.4%
P2
53.4%
53.1%
P3
53.2%
50.5%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.3%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2015 | 3 | 01:27 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 1 | 01:30 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 2 | 17:15 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 2 | 14:36 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 1 | 16:49 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 3 | 11:32 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 2 | 09:04 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 1 | 14:55 | Defensive | Ben Smith |