Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 58.2% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Getzlaf 53.0% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 59.0%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 59.3%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 61.4%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Dvorak
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Dvorak
Getzlaf
Last 8: Dvorak 3-5 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
1
2
Dvorak
Getzlaf
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
2
Dvorak
Getzlaf
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
1
Dvorak
Getzlaf
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (714)
52.5% (772)
+3.2%
Power Play
61.1% (131)
60.8% (153)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (122)
48.0% (100)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Dvorak is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Dvorak shoots left. Getzlaf is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Getzlaf
Home
59.0% (432)
56.0% (557)
Away
54.8% (535)
50.0% (468)
By Period
Dvorak
Getzlaf
P1
58.7%
52.2%
P2
53.9%
53.0%
P3
57.2%
54.9%
OT
70.6%
46.7%
Final 5 min
54.0%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
56.7%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2021 | 3 | 07:25 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 2 | 18:52 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 2 | 06:55 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 2 | 02:44 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 1 | 14:15 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 1 | 04:23 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 1 | 04:12 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |