Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.3% vs 47.2%). Look for Getzlaf on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 47.9% vs Getzlaf 47.4% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fraser 52.3%
Defensive zone
Fraser 56.9%
Neutral zone
Fraser 53.2%
Result
Colin Fraser favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Fraser
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Fraser
Getzlaf
Last 8: Fraser 2-6 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fraser
Getzlaf
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
1
3
Fraser
Getzlaf
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
2
Fraser
Getzlaf
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (332)
46.8% (1,058)
+2.0%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
52.3% (153)
-22.3%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (26)
42.3% (111)
-3.8%
On power play, Getzlaf has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Fraser is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (116).
Fraser shoots left. Getzlaf is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (947).
Home / Away
Fraser
Getzlaf
Home
49.7% (189)
48.3% (694)
Away
44.8% (181)
46.1% (660)
By Period
Fraser
Getzlaf
P1
44.6%
47.8%
P2
48.1%
46.6%
P3
49.1%
47.2%
Final 5 min
47.8%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.3%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2012 | 3 | 01:48 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 1 | 14:45 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 3 | 02:40 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 1 | 17:20 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 2 | 02:12 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 1 | 05:38 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 16, 2011 | 2 | 09:25 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 16, 2011 | 1 | 05:22 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |