Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Smith wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 45.2% vs Getzlaf 47.4% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 67.1%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 66.2%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 53.0%
Result
Craig Smith favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Smith
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Smith
Getzlaf
Last 6: Smith 3-3 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
1
Smith
Getzlaf
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
2
Smith
Getzlaf
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
1
0
Smith
Getzlaf
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (332)
46.8% (1,058)
-1.9%
Power Play
38.9% (54)
52.3% (153)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
42.3% (111)
+7.7%
On power play, Getzlaf has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Smith is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Smith shoots right. Getzlaf is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Smith
Getzlaf
Home
46.1% (167)
48.3% (694)
Away
42.5% (226)
46.1% (660)
By Period
Smith
Getzlaf
P1
42.1%
47.8%
P2
43.4%
46.6%
P3
47.0%
47.2%
OT
50.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
42.6%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
44.0%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2012 | 3 | 02:59 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Mar 18, 2012 | 2 | 06:56 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 3 | 05:43 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 9, 2011 | 2 | 16:31 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Nov 9, 2011 | 2 | 10:29 | Neutral | Craig Smith |