Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 50.3%). Look for Brassard on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.0% vs Getzlaf 50.3% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 52.4%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 54.6%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 57.0%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Brassard
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Brassard
Getzlaf
Last 7: Brassard 5-2 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
1
Brassard
Getzlaf
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
3
1
Brassard
Getzlaf
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,057)
50.1% (895)
-0.4%
Power Play
52.3% (155)
61.0% (59)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
43.1% (58)
+3.1%
On power play, Getzlaf has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Brassard is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Brassard shoots left. Getzlaf is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Brassard
Getzlaf
Home
53.7% (616)
52.0% (465)
Away
46.1% (609)
48.8% (547)
By Period
Brassard
Getzlaf
P1
47.2%
48.3%
P2
50.9%
51.4%
P3
51.5%
51.5%
OT
70.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
46.0%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2016 | 3 | 14:33 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 2 | 18:50 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 02:37 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 2 | 19:54 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 1 | 09:17 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |