Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Caggiula wins 41.1% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Caggiula 43.5% vs Getzlaf 50.3% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Caggiula 54.6%
Defensive zone
Caggiula 57.1%
Neutral zone
Caggiula 55.4%
Result
Drake Caggiula favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Caggiula
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Caggiula
Getzlaf
Last 5: Caggiula 2-3 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
1
Caggiula
Getzlaf
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Caggiula
2
0
Caggiula
Getzlaf
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
2
Caggiula
Getzlaf
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Caggiula
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (276)
50.1% (895)
-9.5%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
61.0% (59)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
43.1% (58)
+6.9%
On even strength, Getzlaf has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Caggiula is 41.1% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Caggiula shoots left. Getzlaf is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Caggiula
Getzlaf
Home
46.9% (145)
52.0% (465)
Away
35.3% (139)
48.8% (547)
By Period
Caggiula
Getzlaf
P1
41.1%
48.3%
P2
40.2%
51.4%
P3
43.0%
51.5%
OT
0.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
44.4%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Caggiula
38.0%▲
36.5%
41.2%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2017 | 3 | 01:34 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 25, 2017 | 2 | 19:44 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 25, 2017 | 2 | 13:02 | Defensive | Drake Caggiula |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 12:45 | Defensive | Drake Caggiula |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 06:08 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |