Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Penner on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Penner wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Penner 44.6% vs Getzlaf 46.1% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Penner leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 52.9%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 58.5%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 59.9%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Penner
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Penner
Getzlaf
Last 10: Penner 6-4 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Penner
4
2
Penner
Getzlaf
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Penner
Getzlaf
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
3
4
Penner
Getzlaf
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Penner
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (151)
45.7% (900)
-4.6%
Power Play
50.0% (92)
49.7% (197)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (59)
38.8% (49)
-3.2%
On even strength, Getzlaf has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Penner is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (109).
Penner shoots left. Getzlaf is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (943).
Home / Away
Penner
Getzlaf
Home
47.5% (158)
48.0% (548)
Away
37.8% (148)
43.9% (635)
By Period
Penner
Getzlaf
P1
38.1%
43.3%
P2
36.2%
51.1%
P3
54.7%
42.0%
OT
27.3%
58.3%
Final 5 min
50.6%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Penner
34.0%▼
42.0%
42.8%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2011 | 3 | 06:11 | Neutral | Dustin Penner |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 3 | 03:07 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 19:52 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 16:38 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 10:32 | Neutral | Dustin Penner |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 04:00 | Offensive | Dustin Penner |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 18:12 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 08:14 | Offensive | Dustin Penner |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 00:43 | Defensive | Dustin Penner |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 00:34 | Neutral | Dustin Penner |
| Dec 7, 2010 | OT | 03:19 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 3 | 11:46 | Offensive | Dustin Penner |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 2 | 06:33 | Offensive | Dustin Penner |
| Nov 21, 2010 | 3 | 03:41 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 21, 2010 | 2 | 10:08 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |