Scouting Report
Jacob de la Rose holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Rose on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Rose wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rose 50.9% vs Getzlaf 49.4% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 73.7%
Defensive zone
Rose 65.5%
Neutral zone
Rose 54.2%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Rose
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Rose
Getzlaf
Last 5: Rose 2-3 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
2
Rose
Getzlaf
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rose
2
1
Rose
Getzlaf
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rose
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (120)
48.1% (939)
+4.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
56.8% (222)
+43.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
41.4% (58)
-8.1%
On power play, Rose has a +43.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Rose is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Rose shoots left. Getzlaf is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Home / Away
Rose
Getzlaf
Home
46.3% (67)
49.4% (591)
Away
57.1% (63)
49.4% (628)
By Period
Rose
Getzlaf
P1
50.0%
50.0%
P2
54.1%
47.4%
P3
51.2%
50.6%
Final 5 min
48.4%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rose
48.0%▲
44.5%
51.5%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 16:29 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 2 | 16:59 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 2, 2016 | 3 | 05:55 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 2, 2016 | 1 | 19:53 | Neutral | Jacob de la Rose |
| Mar 2, 2016 | 1 | 06:55 | Neutral | Jacob de la Rose |