Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Schwartz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Schwartz wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwartz 48.0% vs Getzlaf 50.6% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 53.3%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 71.2%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 70.5%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Schwartz
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Schwartz
Getzlaf
Last 5: Schwartz 4-1 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schwartz
4
0
Schwartz
Getzlaf
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
1
Schwartz
Getzlaf
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwartz
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (97)
50.6% (1,060)
-9.4%
Power Play
64.1% (39)
48.3% (118)
+15.8%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (10)
54.9% (71)
-24.9%
On penalty kill, Getzlaf has a +24.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Schwartz is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Schwartz shoots left. Getzlaf is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Schwartz
Getzlaf
Home
47.4% (78)
51.9% (622)
Away
45.6% (68)
49.3% (627)
By Period
Schwartz
Getzlaf
P1
43.2%
49.4%
P2
52.7%
53.1%
P3
40.5%
50.5%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
39.3%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwartz
58.0%▲
53.5%
46.6%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2014 | 3 | 06:19 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 3 | 06:00 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 2 | 12:43 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 2 | 01:36 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 3 | 06:41 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |