Scouting Report
Jarome Iginla holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Iginla wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Iginla 49.9% vs Getzlaf 48.3% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Iginla 53.5%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 62.0%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 53.0%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Iginla
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Iginla
Getzlaf
Last 9: Iginla 2-7 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
2
Iginla
Getzlaf
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
1
3
Iginla
Getzlaf
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
1
2
Iginla
Getzlaf
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Iginla
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (183)
48.1% (607)
+2.7%
Power Play
48.2% (56)
52.2% (67)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
43.1% (65)
-5.6%
On penalty kill, Getzlaf has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Iginla is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (52).
Iginla shoots right. Getzlaf is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Iginla
Getzlaf
Home
51.9% (133)
51.2% (326)
Away
47.4% (114)
45.5% (413)
By Period
Iginla
Getzlaf
P1
48.2%
50.2%
P2
49.3%
47.9%
P3
51.7%
47.0%
OT
50.0%
36.8%
Final 5 min
54.7%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Iginla
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.8%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 17:11 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 14:04 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 12:20 | Defensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 04:08 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 2 | 14:11 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 2 | 13:49 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 15:08 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 10:53 | Neutral | Jarome Iginla |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 01:06 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |