Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 55.3% vs Getzlaf 47.4% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 77.6%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 55.7%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 68.3%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 73.9%
26.1%
73.9%
Smithson
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Smithson
Getzlaf
Last 6: Smithson 1-5 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
1
4
Smithson
Getzlaf
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
1
Smithson
Getzlaf
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (518)
46.8% (1,058)
+11.1%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
52.3% (153)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (108)
42.3% (111)
+7.7%
On power play, Getzlaf has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Smithson is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Smithson shoots right. Getzlaf is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Smithson
Getzlaf
Home
57.8% (306)
48.3% (694)
Away
54.6% (339)
46.1% (660)
By Period
Smithson
Getzlaf
P1
51.8%
47.8%
P2
54.8%
46.6%
P3
62.0%
47.2%
OT
25.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
48.6%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
56.1%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2011 | 1 | 16:26 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 9, 2011 | 3 | 16:04 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 9, 2011 | 3 | 11:06 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 9, 2011 | 3 | 05:22 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 9, 2011 | 2 | 17:26 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 9, 2011 | 2 | 13:04 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |