Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Mitchell wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 50.0% vs Getzlaf 49.1% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mitchell 61.4%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 62.1%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 55.6%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Mitchell
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Mitchell
Getzlaf
Last 9: Mitchell 6-3 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
1
Mitchell
Getzlaf
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
3
2
Mitchell
Getzlaf
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
3
0
Mitchell
Getzlaf
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (607)
49.5% (1,086)
+1.1%
Power Play
61.2% (49)
57.0% (93)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (92)
43.5% (232)
-3.3%
On power play, Mitchell has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Mitchell is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Mitchell shoots left. Getzlaf is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (902).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Getzlaf
Home
52.0% (406)
53.0% (664)
Away
47.7% (342)
45.5% (747)
By Period
Mitchell
Getzlaf
P1
51.6%
48.4%
P2
44.0%
51.7%
P3
55.0%
46.1%
OT
42.9%
60.6%
Final 5 min
56.6%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
50.0%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2014 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 2 | 19:11 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 2 | 15:47 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 2 | 03:30 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 1 | 12:25 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 1 | 06:28 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Oct 2, 2013 | 2 | 01:59 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Oct 2, 2013 | 2 | 01:53 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Oct 2, 2013 | 1 | 04:29 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |