Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lehtera on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lehtera wins 42.8% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 49.2% vs Getzlaf 50.3% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 55.4%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 77.6%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 64.9%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 61.1%
38.9%
61.1%
Lehtera
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lehtera
Getzlaf
Last 5: Lehtera 4-1 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
2
0
Lehtera
Getzlaf
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
2
1
Lehtera
Getzlaf
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (728)
50.1% (895)
-0.1%
Power Play
50.0% (82)
61.0% (59)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (22)
43.1% (58)
-24.9%
On penalty kill, Getzlaf has a +24.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Lehtera is 42.8% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Lehtera shoots left. Getzlaf is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Getzlaf
Home
50.6% (443)
52.0% (465)
Away
47.6% (389)
48.8% (547)
By Period
Lehtera
Getzlaf
P1
52.6%
48.3%
P2
48.6%
51.4%
P3
46.3%
51.5%
OT
55.6%
46.2%
Final 5 min
49.2%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
49.2%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2017 | 3 | 10:25 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 15, 2017 | 2 | 16:07 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 15, 2017 | 2 | 09:20 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 15, 2017 | 1 | 17:05 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 15, 2017 | 1 | 10:54 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |