Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Korpikoski wins 41.3% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Korpikoski 45.6% vs Getzlaf 46.1% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Korpikoski 50.0%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 62.1%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 61.1%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Korpikoski
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Korpikoski
Getzlaf
Last 5: Korpikoski 3-2 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Korpikoski
2
0
Korpikoski
Getzlaf
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
1
2
Korpikoski
Getzlaf
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Korpikoski
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (191)
45.7% (900)
+0.4%
Power Play
40.0% (35)
49.7% (197)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
38.8% (49)
-9.4%
On power play, Getzlaf has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Korpikoski is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (92).
Korpikoski shoots left. Getzlaf is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (943).
Home / Away
Korpikoski
Getzlaf
Home
42.3% (142)
48.0% (548)
Away
46.1% (102)
43.9% (635)
By Period
Korpikoski
Getzlaf
P1
37.1%
43.3%
P2
43.6%
51.1%
P3
50.0%
42.0%
OT
25.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
42.2%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Korpikoski
40.0%▲
32.5%
43.9%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2011 | 3 | 10:31 | Neutral | Lauri Korpikoski |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 3 | 07:44 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 3 | 05:58 | Offensive | Lauri Korpikoski |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 2 | 15:46 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 5, 2010 | 2 | 02:31 | Offensive | Lauri Korpikoski |