Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stajan wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 51.4% vs Getzlaf 46.1% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stajan 65.4%
Defensive zone
Stajan 78.9%
Neutral zone
Stajan 72.3%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Stajan
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Stajan
Getzlaf
Last 7: Stajan 5-2 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
3
1
Stajan
Getzlaf
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
0
Stajan
Getzlaf
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stajan
Getzlaf
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (731)
45.7% (900)
+6.7%
Power Play
45.8% (59)
49.7% (197)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
38.8% (49)
+9.3%
On penalty kill, Stajan has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Stajan is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Stajan shoots left. Getzlaf is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (943).
Home / Away
Stajan
Getzlaf
Home
52.9% (427)
48.0% (548)
Away
50.2% (418)
43.9% (635)
By Period
Stajan
Getzlaf
P1
49.6%
43.3%
P2
53.2%
51.1%
P3
51.5%
42.0%
OT
100.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
51.6%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2011 | 3 | 19:13 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 3 | 02:28 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 1 | 17:22 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 2 | 19:30 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 2 | 17:34 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 1 | 10:49 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 1 | 05:23 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |