Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 49.4%). Look for McCarron on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 50.2% vs Getzlaf 49.4% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 65.2%
Defensive zone
McCarron 53.0%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 53.6%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
McCarron
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
McCarron
Getzlaf
Last 6: McCarron 4-2 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Getzlaf
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McCarron
Getzlaf
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
1
McCarron
Getzlaf
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (144)
48.1% (939)
+1.9%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
56.8% (222)
-4.8%
On power play, Getzlaf has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. McCarron is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (62).
McCarron shoots right. Getzlaf is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
McCarron
Getzlaf
Home
46.3% (82)
49.4% (591)
Away
54.0% (87)
49.4% (628)
By Period
McCarron
Getzlaf
P1
45.5%
50.0%
P2
53.6%
47.4%
P3
53.2%
50.6%
Final 5 min
54.2%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
50.3%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2016 | 2 | 11:59 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 2 | 08:58 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 1 | 16:30 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 2, 2016 | 2 | 00:39 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 2, 2016 | 1 | 16:27 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 2, 2016 | 1 | 00:47 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |